England v New Zealand 3rd Test
The third and final Test between England and New Zealand starts at Trent Bridge on Thursday and the hosts start as firm favourites. Punters on Betfair can back England to win at 1.76, with New Zealand available at 6.2 and 3.6 the draw.
England certainly appear to have the momentum after the amazing turnaround in the second Test, when they overcame a 170 first innings deficit to win in style on the fourth day.
The home side touched 17.5 during that clash at Old Trafford, so punters should be alert to the value offered by Betfair’s in-play markets, especially as these inconsistent teams regularly veer between being good and bad in the same match.
The five recent meetings between these two have produced three England wins, one for New Zealand and one rain-affected draw. Michael Vaughan’s men were not convincing in any of those victories and punters following the Black Caps will be relieved to see them back in their underdog role, as they looked uncomfortable front-runners at Manchester.
England have lost their last two Tests at Trent Bridge in relatively low-scoring encounters and the wicket continues to offer assistance to the bowlers. This will suit the Black Caps, as England’s batsmen – apart from Andrew Strauss – have looked all at sea against the tourists’ attack when conditions are favourable.
The Kiwis also have more batsmen in good form than England do, with Jamie How, Ross Taylor, Brendon McCullum and Jacob Oram all profiting from England’s often wayward attack.
Paul Collingwood, Ian Bell, Kevin Pietersen and Tim Ambrose have all had limited time in the middle and punters might find value in selecting the Black Caps batsmen in Betfair’s wide range of batting markets.
England are always expected to come out on top in every clash between these two sides, but this Test series has been closely-fought and characterised by bad sessions for both teams. We could be in store for another rollercoaster encounter, so punters should be ready to change position as the action unfolds at Trent Bridge.
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